Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi Uluslararası Mühendislik Teknolojileri ve Uygulamalı Bilimler Dergisi

Yazarlar: Ali SARI, Muzaffer AKTAŞ, Ahmet YÖNETKEN, Rasim DOĞAN

Konular:Mühendislik

Anahtar Kelimeler:Solar radiationprediction,NARX model,Temperature,Humidity,Precipitation

Özet: There is a transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy without resource constraints in electrical energy production. The most important of these resources is solar energy. The energy produced by solar panels is directly related to the amount of solar radiation. For this reason, solar radiation estimation provides the economical use of other energy sources, knowing the energy needed to meet the demand for the amount of energy to be produced. It is very important to know the demand forecast in advance in energy production. Many methods are used in energy demand forecasting. In this study, the prediction of solar radiation in cases where temperature, humidity and precipitation data are variable by using NARX prediction model has been examined. For this, measurements taken from the borders of Ankara province were used. The simulation results are given in tables and researched.

---