İnsan ve Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi
Yazarlar: Aydoğan DURMUŞ
Konular:Beşeri Bilimler, Ortak Disiplinler
Anahtar Kelimeler:Exchange rate,Import,Export,Foreign trade
Özet: Factors affecting foreign trade have always been an area of interest. Foreign exchange rates are a variable that comes to the fore due to other factors. In many applied studies, the effects of changes in exchange rates on imports and exports were examined. In many studies, although there are no supporting findings, explanatory and contributing results have been reached. In this study, the volatility of exchange rate was determined by using a new method, Markov Switching ARCH econometrics, and the effect of foreign exchange shocks was investigated. As a result of the regression, it was seen that the import value was affected by the risks caused by the uncertainty of exchange rate.