Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi

Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi

Probabilistic Prediction of the Next Earthquake in the NAFZ (North Anatolian Fault Zone), Turkey

Yazarlar: Veysel YILMAZ, Murat ERİŞOĞLU, H. Eray ÇELİK

Cilt 5 , Sayı 2 , 2004 , Sayfalar -

Konular:-

Anahtar Kelimeler:Earthquake Prediction,Probability Distributions,Kolmogorov - Smirnov Test

Özet: Statistical methods are useful for characterizing seismic hazard because earthquakes are, for all practical purposes, random phenomena. They provide additional insights to the seismic hazard or risk problem. Seismic risk and earthquake occurrence probabilities can be estimated by using probability distributions. In this study Weibull, Log-normal, Log-logistic, Exponential and Gamma distributions have been examined for which one has the best fit for the given data. Kolmogorov-Smirnov test statistics was used at the research of the distribution best represents earthquake data. At the end of the test, it has been detected that Weibull distribution is more appropriate than other distributions.

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@article{2004, title={Probabilistic Prediction of the Next Earthquake in the NAFZ (North Anatolian Fault Zone), Turkey}, volume={5}, publisher={Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi}, author={Veysel YILMAZ, Murat ERİŞOĞLU, H. Eray ÇELİK}, year={2004} }
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Veysel YILMAZ, Murat ERİŞOĞLU, H. Eray ÇELİK. (2004). Probabilistic Prediction of the Next Earthquake in the NAFZ (North Anatolian Fault Zone), Turkey (Vol. 5). Vol. 5. Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi.
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Veysel YILMAZ, Murat ERİŞOĞLU, H. Eray ÇELİK. Probabilistic Prediction of the Next Earthquake in the NAFZ (North Anatolian Fault Zone), Turkey. no., Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi, 2004.
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