Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi

Yazarlar: Harun TERZİ

Konular:-

Anahtar Kelimeler:Tourism Revenue,Economic Growth,Causality,VAR Analysis,Turkey

Özet: This study focuses on the causality relationship between international tourism revenue and economic growth in the Turkish economy during the period 1963-2013. Yearly time series data were obtained from the World Data Indicators and the Turkish Statistical Institute. Three different methodologies were employed to test the causality: pairwise Granger causality, unrestricted VAR and Toda-Yamamoto VAR analysis. All tests yielded strong evidence for unidirectional positive significant causality running from tourism revenue to economic growth. Additionally, IR and VD analyses also showed that the two variables affect each other. The findings of this study support the view that tourism-led growth hypothesis is valid for the Turkish economy.

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