Journal of Yaşar University
Yazarlar: Kemal EYÜBOĞLU, Sinem EYÜBOĞLU
Konular:-
DOI:10.19168/jyasar.633351
Anahtar Kelimeler:Adaptive Market Hypothesis,Linear Tests,Nonlinear Tests,Borsa Istanbul
Özet: In this study, whether the Adaptive Market Hypothesis is valid in Borsa Istanbul indices (BIST 100, Industrial and Financial) is examined by using daily data. Daily return data were divided into two-year subsamples and linear and nonlinear tests were applied to determine how the stock returns’ independence changed over time. The results autocorrelation and runs tests showed that the efficiency of each market varied within the sub-periods and therefore the markets were consistent with the Adaptive Market Hypothesis. The results of the variance ratio test and nonlinear tests showed that stock returns are predictable and therefore the markets are inefficient.