Siyaset Ekonomi ve Yönetim Araştırmaları Dergisi

Yazarlar: ["Ali ÇELİK", "Hamidou Taffa ABDOUL-AZİZE"]

Konular:-

DOI:10.54429/seyad.1178207

Anahtar Kelimeler:Tüketici Fiyat Endeksi,GSYİH,Küreselleşme,KSS (2006) Doğrusal Olmayan Eşbütünleşme Analizi,Hata Düzeltme Modeli

Özet: This study investigates the causal relationships between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, Exchange Rate (ER), Globalization (GI), Urbanization (UP), Carbon Dioxide emissions (CO2), and consumer price index (CPI). The nonlinear cointegration and error correction model (ECM) of Kapetanios, Shin, and Snell (2006) was used to investigate the short-run and long run relationships between inflation and the above-mentioned variables during the 1990-2019s in the Republic of Niger. The results of nonlinear cointegration showed the existence of a cointegration relationship between CPI, GDP, GI, UP and CO2 and those of the error correction model revealed the existence of a relationship between UP and CPI. In addition, the results of Linear Granger causality tests showed bidirectional causal linkages running from CPI to CO2 and from CO2 to CPI, causal linkage running from CPI to GI, and a unidirectional causal linkage running from GDP to CPI. Consequently, the study ends up with some recommendations for the policy and decision-makers to increase the welfare of the country.

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